Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.467895 0.534898 0.604821 0.682954 0.767547 0.856099 0.955534
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.391339 0.487537 0.593390 0.717393 0.857581 1.010112 1.187577
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.315392 0.428188 0.558861 0.718788 0.906656 1.117924 1.371032
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.274248 0.402345 0.557607 0.754747 0.993635 1.269317 1.607060
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.227988 0.363116 0.534723 0.760704 1.042814 1.376323 1.793315
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.190545 0.329511 0.514207 0.765870 1.088643 1.478453 1.974519
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.164722 0.307745 0.505911 0.784176 1.149425 1.598492 2.178333
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.145057 0.291754 0.503041 0.807876 1.216216 1.726056 2.392537
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.128094 0.277211 0.500196 0.830199 1.280574 1.850770 2.604387
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.107221 0.253074 0.480834 0.827616 1.310628 1.931340 2.761335
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093300 0.238342 0.473705 0.840909 1.361186 2.038083 2.951853
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.077741 0.217950 0.455682 0.836728 1.386707 2.111726 3.100330
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.060562 0.191396 0.425672 0.813513 1.385543 2.151117 3.206979
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052250 0.181062 0.421252 0.828193 1.437560 2.261651 3.407081
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041220 0.162161 0.400132 0.815458 1.449324 2.317681 3.536184
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037292 0.158957 0.406342 0.845747 1.523811 2.459617 3.779895
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.030526 0.146855 0.394999 0.846866 1.554986 2.542304 3.945623
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024929 0.136117 0.384969 0.849209 1.587464 2.626729 4.114132
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021490 0.130551 0.384334 0.866856 1.642935 2.743505 4.326945
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018998 0.127167 0.387630 0.890982 1.708365 2.874673 4.560060
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.016712 0.123722 0.390397 0.914065 1.772386 3.004393 4.792206
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.013086 0.113857 0.378552 0.910866 1.795351 3.075913 4.945490
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.010962 0.108813 0.376558 0.924764 1.844928 3.185624 5.151685